Kategori: Forex Trading

They usually are, except in rare conditions broker-triggered or event-driven widening may occur. Combined with high leverage, this can cause margin calls even on profitable holdings. Global QT (quantitative tightening) and policy uncertainty have thinned banking reserves and liquidity, amplifying spreads. Diverging rate policies—Fed keeping rates higher vs ECB cutting—create wide interest rate gaps, impacting liquidity and spreads.

Some traders prefer to avoid these times altogether, while others may seek to capitalize on the increased market movements, despite the higher trading costs. Market makers, including banks and financial institutions, play a central role in determining forex spreads. The keyword “forex spread” in this context reflects the profit margin market makers seek to earn by facilitating currency transactions. Interbank networks, where major financial institutions trade currencies among themselves, also contribute to the establishment of benchmark spreads.

• Traders should be especially vigilant during these events and consider implementing risk management strategies to navigate potential market turbulence.
• The spread is a fundamental aspect of forex trading, impacting the cost of executing trades and ultimately influencing a trader’s profitability.
• The opening hours of major financial centers like London, New York, and Tokyo bring increased trading activity and liquidity, generally leading to narrower spreads.

Risk Management Techniques

In the world of forex trading, the keyword “forex spread” plays a crucial role in understanding market dynamics. The spread, defined as the difference between the buying (ask) and selling (bid) prices of a currency pair, is a fundamental concept for traders. However, instances where the spread is unusually high can pose challenges and impact trading strategies. This is because during periods of high volatility, liquidity providers widen their spreads to protect themselves from potential losses.

• Traders can employ several strategies to navigate periods of high forex spreads effectively.
• Look for brokers that offer competitive spreads, reliable execution, and transparent pricing.
• Liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset, in this case, a currency pair, can be bought or sold without causing a significant impact on its price.

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Traders should also carefully select brokers with transparent pricing models, competitive spreads, and a reputation for fair practices. Forex spreads are influenced by the interbank market, where banks and financial institutions trade currencies among themselves. The interbank market serves as the primary liquidity provider for the forex market, with banks quoting bid and ask prices for currency pairs based on market supply and demand dynamics.

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This can reduce their profitability and make it more difficult to make money from Forex trading. High spreads also mean that traders need to be more selective about the currency pairs they trade. Traders should focus on currency pairs with tight spreads and high liquidity to minimize their trading costs. Market makers are financial institutions that provide liquidity to the Forex market.

Traders executing trades in such conditions may experience widened spreads, impacting the cost of their transactions. Using limit orders and taking advantage of market stability can help mitigate the impact of bid-ask discrepancies on spreads. The characteristics of specific currency pairs can also contribute to variations in spreads.

Remember that building a solid foundation of knowledge and experience is key to navigating the complexities of the forex market and achieving long-term success. In conclusion, the keyword “forex spread” encapsulates a multifaceted aspect of currency trading that significantly influences market dynamics and trading costs. High spreads are a natural occurrence in the forex market, driven by factors such as liquidity, volatility, and brokerage practices. Traders need to approach high spreads with a strategic mindset, understanding the various factors at play and adapting their trading strategies accordingly. Forex markets are characterized by liquidity, representing the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without affecting their prices. The keyword “forex spread” is directly influenced by market liquidity, and low liquidity conditions can lead to wider spreads.

Market Volatility and Economic News

In the world of Forex trading, one common problem traders face is the sudden increase in spreads, especially during high volatility. This situation can catch both beginners and seasoned professionals off guard. Imagine you are about to place a trade, and suddenly, the price you see is much higher than expected.

Market Makers and Interbank Networks

Hopefully you now have an understanding on some of the various factors that can impact the spreads that you pay when trading forex online and how to avoid them. Some trading strategies are reliant on tight spreads whereas others may not be so spread dependent. Either way, tighter spreads can help to save on trading cost in the long run. Imagine you’re trading the GBP/USD pair just before a Brexit announcement. Regularly monitoring and adjusting your trades can help you manage spreads more effectively. Forex spreads are fundamental components of the trading world that influence trading conditions.

In contrast, others may use a dealing desk (DD) model, executing trades internally. Brokers using a DD model may widen spreads as part of their revenue model. Additionally, brokers may apply spread markups, increasing the spread offered to clients. Traders should be aware of their broker’s practices and choose a transparent and reputable broker to avoid unexpected spread variations. During times of high volatility, price movements are erratic and unpredictable. Such uncertainty increases the risk for liquidity providers (often banks or other financial institutions), who compensate by widening spreads.

While some brokers offer commission-based trading with tight spreads, others derive revenue from wider spreads and no-commission trading. Brokers may also offer different types of trading accounts with varying spreads and trading conditions to cater to the diverse needs and preferences of traders. Additionally, brokers may engage in price competition and marketing strategies to attract clients, leading to differences in spreads among brokers. Ultimately, brokers aim to strike a balance between offering competitive spreads to attract clients and generating sufficient revenue to sustain their operations and profitability.

Trusted since 2008, lightning-fast execution, no hidden fees, and a secure, transparent trading environment—giving you the edge you need to succeed. Understanding the sudden increase in spreads, especially during high volatility, is crucial for Forex traders. By implementing the solutions discussed, you can manage and even avoid this issue. Being updated on global market conditions can help you anticipate volatility.

Why do forex spreads widen? 6 critical reasons.

This article aims to delve into the dynamics of high spreads in the forex market, shedding light on the factors that contribute to these fluctuations and the implications for traders. For forex traders, awareness of the factors influencing spread dynamics is vital. Trading strategies can be adapted to account for expected spread widening during low liquidity periods, volatile markets, or around major news events.

Traders should be especially vigilant during these events and consider implementing risk management strategies to navigate potential market turbulence. Certain market conditions, such as illiquidity in specific currency pairs, can contribute to high spreads. Illiquid markets lack sufficient participants, leading to a scarcity of buyers and sellers. As a result, even small trades in illiquid markets can cause significant price movements and wider spreads. Traders should exercise caution when engaging in less popular or exotic currency pairs, as these may be more prone to illiquidity and, consequently, higher spreads. One of the primary contributors to high spreads in the forex market is the level of liquidity.

As a result, traders may experience higher trading costs and wider spreads during volatile market conditions. Forex spreads play a crucial role in the foreign exchange market, serving as the primary source of revenue for forex brokers and impacting trading costs for market participants. The forex spread refers to the difference between the bid price and the ask price of a currency pair, representing the transaction cost incurred by traders when executing trades.

While Forex spreads can vary significantly, traders often find that they are high, particularly when compared to other asset classes like stocks and commodities. In this article, we explore why Forex spreads are so high and what it means for traders. The bid-ask spread is the difference between the price a broker buys and sells why are forex spreads so high right now a currency. If a customer initiates a sell trade with a broker, the bid price would be quoted. If a customer wants to initiate a buy trade, the ask price would be quoted. Investors need to monitor a broker’s spread since any speculative trade needs to cover or earn enough to cover the spread and any fees.

Estimates put the country’s fusion budget at around $1.5 billion a year – almost double that allocated by the US government to research in 2024. What will it take for India to lead on deep tech and the global space race? None can be certain of success yet, globally, we must try. Can we get to fusion breakeven in a compact device? Can we get to fusion temperatures in a compact device?

Is the world ready for the transformational power of fusion?

Nuclear fusion gets a lot of public attention due to its fantastic potential. Advanced nuclear technologies can help address some of the concerns around safety and cost. In New York City, heat pumps are becoming common in new developments, and a new programme will start introducing them into the city’s public housing this winter, which has long-standing problems with broken furnaces and inadequate heat. The technology still needs to overcome the common misconception that heat pumps can’t hack it anywhere that experiences true winter. Despite doing all the work of central heating and cooling, heat pumps use far less energy than an oil burner or HVAC systems. By harnessing the energy in the outside air, which is present even on cold days, and moving it inside in the form of heat, heat pumps can efficiently warm a home.

Fusion mimics the process that powers the sun, creating massive energy without carbon emissions or long-lasting radioactive waste. While nuclear fusion is often dubbed as the holy grail of energy, it is also in the early stages of realization. Advanced nuclear technologies range from fusion and small modular reactors (SMRs) to nuclear fuels and waste management, and they can help address some of the concerns around safety and cost. As energy demand is projected to increase, particularly the demand for 24/7 clean power, nuclear energy is undergoing a renaissance as countries and industries realize that renewable sources alone won’t be able to meet this demand.

Small modular reactors

• But she said the timescale to generating power could be “two or three decades away” and urged great collaboration to build a fusion “ecosystem”.
• Conducted by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the study projects that fusion generation will rise from 2 TWh in 2035 to 375 TWh in 2050, reaching nearly 25,000 TWh by 2100.
• During the summer, the process can be reversed, moving heat out of the house in order to cool it.
• A nuclear fusion reactor in South Korea has set a new record, superheating a plasma loop to 100 million degrees Celsius for 48 seconds.

From the way we heat our homes to more water in times of drought, here’s just a glimpse of how fusion power could help change the world. Commercial fusion energy alone is exciting, but consider the ripple effect of how a shift in energy supply can affect industry and our environment. We are working to shepherd fusion energy’s leap from experimental laboratories to grid-ready power plants in the 2030s. That’s a huge step forward for the decades-long global mission of fusion scientists, providing humanity with a cheap, limitless and carbon-free source of electricity.

CFS is racing against Helion, another US fusion startup backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, which plans to bring a fusion power plant online by 2028 and has signed Microsoft as its first off-take partner. In parallel, governments, utilities and private industry are expanding the fusion ecosystem. A new fusion roadmap published by the US Department of Energy in October outlines how the technology could enter that country’s energy mix by the early 2030s.

While nuclear fusion power offers the prospect of an almost inexhaustible energy source for future generations, it has also presented many so-far-insurmountable scientific and engineering challenges. In May 2023, Microsoft announced a deal with private US nuclear fusion company Helion to buy electricity made using fusion technology in 2028. A concerted effort towards fusion energy is the best way to solve the pressing need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and ensure the supply of safe, clean energy long into the future. But fusion power can make the prospect of electric heating via heat pumps a zero-emission future.

The challenge is that fusion only happens in stars, where the huge gravitational force creates pressures and temperatures so intense that usually repulsive particles will collide and fuse. Read this piece to explore the industry’s potential. Meanwhile, the space economy is expected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035 as space-enabled technologies advance. For over half a century, microchips have paved the way for increasingly powerful electronic devices. Sales of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles increased by 12% in March compared to the same month in 2023, data from Rho Motion shows. The easing of inflation is expected to drive demand recovery in emerging markets, while increasing integration of AI technology is likely to attract buyers to premium devices.

• A concerted effort towards fusion energy is the best way to solve the pressing need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and ensure the supply of safe, clean energy long into the future.
• Sales of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles increased by 12% in March compared to the same month in 2023, data from Rho Motion shows.
• The jump from fossil fuels to fusion energy will inevitably be more profound than the jump from burning wood to burning fossil fuels.
• From the way we heat our homes to more water in times of drought, here’s just a glimpse of how fusion power could help change the world.
• The US Department of Energy has announced a breakthrough on nuclear fusion, achieving a net energy gain for the first time, in a fusion experiment using lasers.

The 10 countries that score the highest in terms of readiness account for only 2.6% of global annual emissions. Plus, improvements in the energy intensity of the global economy (the amount of energy used per unit of economic activity) are slowing. It only lasted for a fraction of a second, but it proved fusion could be a power source, rather than a power drain. Then, in 2022, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California achieved ‘Lawson’s criterion,’ making the first net-positive energy gain from a controlled fusion reaction.

How financial regulators are using technology to protect consumers and strengthen the financial system Skills development is critical to bridging the global digital talent gap The world’s mindset will shift from energy as a constraint to limitless energy, reshaping the fusion markets review geopolitics of energy in its wake. From the United States to the UAE, governments are investing serious resources — in fusion R&D and commercialization. Extending this 7% price reduction across all energy consumption in the United States could save consumers $119 billion per year and help curb inflation, as energy costs are a significant driver of consumer prices. But these energy sources are inherently variable; the wind doesn’t always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine.

Pioneering nuclear fusion

Fusion also is the critical driver for enabling exciting artificial intelligence applications powered by energy-hungry data centres. MIT found that incorporating fusion into New England’s grid would cut annual energy costs by $36 billion — or 7% — by 2050. One way to understand fusion’s potential global economic impact is to look at a single market.

We have built and demonstrated a tokamak with all its magnets made from HTS and we are now designing the device to get to fusion temperatures. Can we get sufficiently beyond breakeven to produce electricity for the first time? One showed for the first time that it is feasible to build a low power (~100MWe) tokamak with a high power gain. On Earth we need to create similar conditions and hold a hot electrically-charged plasma at high enough pressure for long enough for fusion reactions to occur. Controlled fusion is the ideal long-term energy source, complimentary to renewables. Fusion – with no CO2 emissions, no risk of meltdown and no long-lived radioactive waste – is the obvious solution and has been for decades, but it is so hard to achieve.

In brief: Other tech stories to know

In 2013, Lockheed Martin showed how compact fusion could meet global electricity consumption (44,000,000 GWh per year) by 2045. The JET tokamak at Culham Laboratory achieved 16MW of fusion power in 1997 with 24MW of input power. A nuclear fusion reactor in South Korea has set a new record, superheating a plasma loop to 100 million degrees Celsius for 48 seconds. Stellarators to return as key fusion energy research concept after tokamak focus. The global race for commercial fusion is on while the fusion-powered future is just beginning.

These are just a few of the ways affordable commercial fusion energy could reshape life on Earth as we know it, which is why it’s worth pursuing. But all that cold air takes a lot of electricity to generate, making the coldscape a significant contributor to the food sector’s carbon emissions. One new way we could grow food that would be more environmentally sustainable would be hydroponic vertical farms — if the need for electricity to power the grow lights and other necessary equipment weren’t so high.

More on Energy TransitionSee all

Type 1 Diabetes patients in England are to be offered a new technology described as an artificial pancreas. KSTAR is the prototype of the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) based in France. However, there are still many challenges to overcome before the technology is commercially viable. As the electric vehicle’s story shows, a technological resurgence can take time and may need to demonstrate breakthroughs in adjacent fields – e.g. the electric car brought advances in high-capacity batteries and low-losses electrical engines.

More on energy from the Forum

Nuclear energy produces about 10% of the world’s electricity, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). In the US — where the heating oil used to fuel furnaces in the northeast is in short supply, and the closure of nuclear plants across the country is leading to skyrocketing electric bills — many are in the midst of a cold and expensive winter. Commercial fusion power generation is expected by some to roll out in the 2030s — which could give the world a seismic final push to meet the UN’s 2050 climate goals, if implemented broadly and quickly. Pioneering inventors, including TAE Technologies in Southern California, are racing to bring this natural process that fuels the sun down to Earth, with terrestrial fusion power plants. While the growth in renewables over the past decade has been promising, nuclear fusion is only beginning to gain the recognition and support required to push it toward commercial use.

The heat and pressure cause expansion but any contact with the reactor walls instantly cools it and halts the fusion reaction. Major hurdles remain, however, before fusion becomes a staple of the energy mix. A recent report from Swiss company EconSight, which tracks technology trends and patents, shows China leading the field, filing 67% of world-class fusion patents between 2016 and 2023, compared to 19% in the US and 5% in Europe. Since the 1980s, 33 nations and thousands of engineers and scientists have collaborated to build and operate a “tokamak” – a magnetic fusion device – as part of the ITER project, the world’s largest fusion experiment. While achieving net-energy gain has long been a scientific challenge, progress is accelerating across multiple fronts, putting the technology on the radar of the World Economic Forum’s Global Future Council on Energy Technology Frontiers. Brazil is on the way to becoming a ‘nature superpower’, says this expert

With fusion powering the factory (and the logistics infrastructure too), those reductions would be even greater. That ability could come from commercial fusion energy, creating a game changer for desalination by taking the energy overhead costs of desal and cutting them to nearly zero. It’ll take years to get there, but at fusion’s fullest capacity, anyone will be able to use as much electricity as they need, with no environmental costs and very little expense. It helps increase public confidence in advanced energy solutions, technology readiness, demand and business cases while enabling collaborations and informing policy. Platforms like the Forum’s Advanced Energy Solutions community can help speed up this cooperation and accelerate the deployment of new technologies from decades to years, such as clean fuels and hydrogen, advanced nuclear, storage and carbon removal. At the same time, the Forum is also working to support a more integrated approach to energy solutions, including advanced nuclear, clean fuels, hydrogen and carbon removal.

Nuclear fusion, the process that powers the Sun and stars, merges two atomic nuclei into a larger one. Our current nuclear power stations use nuclear fission – essentially splitting an atom’s nucleus. Through its Centres, the World Economic Forum integrates public-private efforts to achieve greater impact. While advancements in AI, quantum computing, biotech, robotics and automation and other fields present numerous opportunities, new technologies are also hiking energy demand. A competitive race and more private investment would be good for the progress of fusion.

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Why do we get 8 when trying to calculate 2+2×2 with a calculator?

Rynki wschodzące – cykliczność, najtańsze od lat, wspierane przez rosnąca inflację i słabnącego dolara (USD).8. Spółki technologiczne – niezagrożony trend wzrostowy, cyfryzacja „starego” biznesu oraz życia zawodowego i społecznego w okresie pandemii.7. Geograficznie – GPW wśród rynków rozwijających się (EM) jest atrakcyjna, a znane, lokalne spółki są nisko wyceniane na tle innych rynków; sWIG pokazał potencjał zysku w tym roku. To, w przypadku oczekiwanego zysku, zmusza depozytariuszy oraz obligatariuszy do aktywności, z akceptacją wyższej zmienności (ryzyka) – poprzez inwestycje w akcje, złoto, surowce czy wierzytelności.3.

Ceny złota w górę, coraz bliżej 5 tysięcy dolarów za uncję

Kurs DJT rósł w pewnym momencie o prawie 17 proc. Piąty raz z rzędu nowojorska giełda rosła w dzień wyborów prezydenckich. Uwaga skupia się również na tym, która partia dominuje w Kongresie, uwzględniając, że zwycięstwo Republikanów lub Demokratów może przyczynić się do drastycznych zmian w wydatkach lub dużej reorganizacji polityki podatkowej.

• Na godzinę przed zamknięciem wtorkowej sesji w Nowym Jorku indeks jest 1 proc.
• Więcej niż we wtorek, euro kosztuje 4,37 zł (+0,5 proc.).
• Dlatego też nie oczekuję z tego powodu potężnej przeceny, o ile na pandemię – nie nałożą się niepokoje w USA.
• Konrad Łapiński – przeciwnie, uważa, że nie ma ryzyka hiperinflacji, w rozumieniu wzrostu cen towarów i usług, wynikającej z ograniczenia podaży dóbr i usług.

07 Ropa pod presją dolara

Eksperci Euler Hermes nie spodziewają się również drastycznego wzrostu inflacji, która, ich zdaniem po przekroczeniu progu 2 proc. Z kolei zwycięstwo Trumpa i jego pakiet gospodarczy naprawy infrastruktury w perspektywie krótko- i średnioterminowej wsparłby realny wzrost gospodarczy o 0,9 p.p. Z kolei akcje banków, które stanowią duży składnik indeksów wartości, powinny zyskać na silniejszej gospodarce, zwłaszcza jeśli będą im towarzyszyć wyższe stopy procentowe. Kierunek będzie wyznaczał “napór” nowego pieniądza, a inwestorzy z uwagi na zerowe lub ujemne stopy zwrotu na rynku obligacji, będą “skazani” na bardziej ryzykowne aktywa. Po drugie zwycięstwo Demokraty będzie oznaczało z pewnością wprowadzenie wyższych podatków, które zmniejszą zyski firm, a więc ich wyceny – zauważa Mariusz Jagodziński, prezes AgioFunds TFI. Rywalizacja między kandydatem Republikanów, a Demokratów jest bardzo ostra, a wygrana będzie ważyła się zapewne aż do dnia wyborów.

Trudno w to uwierzyć. Nadchodzi koniec budowy dróg w Polsce

Po drugie, relacja płacy godzinowej do ceny uncji złota przekracza obecnie wartości notowane podczas wcześniejszych okresów bardzo znaczących kryzysów gospodarczych. Obecny poziom ceny złota znajduje się na rekordowym poziomie w tego typu zestawieniu. Warte analizy jest porównanie ceny uncji złota do płacy godzinowej w USA (liczba godzin potrzebna do przepracowania, żeby móc kupić jedną uncję złota).

Pod znakiem zapytania pozostają także główne aktualnie filary perspektyw wzrostu globalnej gospodarki, takie jak sztuczna inteligencja czy dekarbonizacja. Jednocześnie głównym beneficjentem przepływu kapitału powinien być segment średnio- i długoterminowych obligacji skarbowych amerykańskich oraz skorelowanych z nimi obligacji korporacyjnych emitentów o wysokim ratingu inwestycyjnym. W takim właśnie przypadku bałagan, który będzie miał miejsce po wyborach, doprowadzi do niepewności skutkującej spadkami wielu aktywów. „Pierwsze i najbardziej oczywiste to wygrana DonaldaTrumpa, drugie to nieoczekiwana wygrana Kamali Harris, a trzecie tomikroskopijna przewaga jednego z kandydatów” – komentuje dla Bankier.plKuczyński. Trzy podstawowe, a nie dwa rozwiązania wycenia PiotrKuczyński z DI Xelion, który także wspomina o wielu innych rozstrzygnięciach i różnychodcieniach szarości.

Szansa na min. 50 proc. zysku w 2026 r. Te spółki mogą dowieźć świetne wyniki na giełdzie GOTOWE PORTFELE

• Natomiast giełda spadła o 3,5 proc.
• Celem tworzenia portfeli jest taki dobór aktywów, aby zmniejszyć zmienność cen aktywów i zwiększyć stopę zwrotu z portfela.
• Potencjał spółek VALUE – atrakcyjność segmentu spółek o niskiej wycenie wskaźnikowej jest największa – wg Bank of America – od 2000 roku (C/Z 15, C/WK 9,5, procent generowanej wolnej gotówki – 12,5).6.
• Rynek przewiduje, że jeśli zostanie on prezydentem i zrealizuje te zapowiedzi, wyższe bariery celne przełożą się na wyższe ceny, co z kolei podbije inflację i wydłuży ścieżkę obniżek stóp procentowych.
• Donald Trump wygrał w konserwatywnych zachodnich stanach Utah i Montana- ogłosiła agencja AP w oparciu o częściowe wyniki wyborów.

O opłacalność inwestycji w złoto został zapytany Marek Straszak, Dyrektor Inwestycyjny ds. Ogólna zasada mówi, że dobrze dla zmniejszenia ryzyka jest inwestować portfelowo w dobra rzadkie, jak grunty ziemskie czy złoto oraz w produkty słabo skorelowane z innymi klasami aktywów, jak wierzytelności. W tym panelu zaprezentowano sposoby wykorzystania złota, nieruchomości i wierzytelności – w formule prawnej funduszy – w inwestowaniu antyinflacyjnym. Do bloku IV „Od złota – przez nieruchomości – do wierzytelności” wprowadził uczestników Michał Kurpiel, Wiceprezes iWealth. Liniowa wycena papierów korporacyjnych nie oddaje rzeczywistości. Bogusław Stefaniak – wycena składników portfela jest pomijana, np.

Dla rynków niewątpliwie najlepsza, długoterminowo, byłaby (po chwilowym załamaniu „podatkowym”) niebieska fala – czyli wygrana Demokratów na wszystkich frontach. Jeśli spojrzeć w sondaże, to widać, że po wyborach Izba Reprezentantów nadal będzie należeć do Demokratów. Osobny temat (ale bardzo ważny) to wynik wyborów do Kongresu. Warto pamiętać, że bez względu na wynik wyborów, do 6. Niewesoła dla Bidena (którego jestem zdecydowanym zwolennikiem lub – może inaczej – jestem przeciwnikiem Donalda Trumpa) i niezła dla rynków akcji. Co prawda, przeciwnicy tezy o lepszym dla rynku Trumpie Prognozy cen zlota w przypadku wygranej Bidena lub Trumpa mówią, że jeśli wygra Biden, to gospodarka dostanie mocniejsze wsparcie ze strony rządu, ale przecież Republikanie obiecują, już niewiele mniejszy, pakiet pomocowy.

Praktyczny poradnik inwestycyjny – podsumowanie iWealth Summit 2020

Tempo wzrostu podaży pieniądza M2 w USA r/r na tle zannualizowanej stopy inflacji Inwestorzy uciekają w bezpieczne aktywa – na fali są jen, frank, złoto ale też bitcoin (czy inwestorzy zaczynają znów dostrzegać jakąś alternatywę w kryptowalutach?). Prezydent USA może tym samym zrealizować swój plan znaczącego osłabienia dolara. Ceną tej nieprzewidywalności okazały się zakupy na zapas amerykańskich producentów, które wywaliły nie tylko bilans handlowy.

45 Aleksander Śniegocki: wygrana Trumpa nie zatrzyma transformacji energetycznej,

Prosto na Twojego maila będziemy wysyłać skrót najważniejszych informacji ze świata finansów, powiadomienia o nowościach rynkowych, najnowsze oceny i raporty oraz codzienne notowania wybranych przez Ciebie funduszy inwestycyjnych. Na indeksie S&P 500 – jeśli ten poziom zostanie przełamany, to powstanie formacja podwójnego szczytu zapowiadająca przecenę przynajmniej do 2.860 pkt. I na koniec – jeśli będzie realizowany scenariusz negatywny to trzeba obserwować poziom 3.214 pkt. Czyli wszystko zależy od wyniku wyborów w Stanach. Dlatego też nie oczekuję z tego powodu potężnej przeceny, o ile na pandemię – nie nałożą się niepokoje w USA. Otóż tak, że, po pierwsze, bardzo wiele w krótkim terminie zależy od tego, co będzie się działo w USA po wyborach (opisałem to wyżej).

Wpływ wyższych ceł na inflację będzie przejściowy, stępiony przez mocniejszego dolara i niższe wydatki konsumpcyjne, a Fed poprzednim razem nie reagował podwyżkami stóp na wzrost protekcjonizmu. Powodem miałaby być przede wszystkim wyższa presja płacowa z powodu zamknięcia granic dla imigrantów (i deportacji osób nielegalnie przebywających w USA), a także wzrost cen z powody wprowadzenia ceł. Jedną z ważniejszych konsekwencji ekonomicznych wyborów w USA może być wzrost inflacji w sytuacji, gdyby Donald Trump chciał wprowadzać wszystkie swoje zapowiedzi wyborcze. Aby w dość krótkim czasie notować ponad czteroprocentowy spadek. PAP przywołuje dane CNBC sięgające 1980 r., które sugerują, że główne indeksy rosną między dniem wyborów a końcem roku, ale zazwyczaj spadają w sesji i tygodniu po wyborach.

Kurs dolara osiągnął najwyższy poziom od roku, podczas gdy Donald Trump zbliża się do wygrania wyborów prezydenckich w USA. Ameryka zmierzająca do izolacjonizmu i protekcjonizmu oznacza też – przynajmniej krótkoterminowe – wzmocnienie dolara, a co za tym idzie – wzrost kosztów obsługi długów publicznych. Anonimowy Francuz, który stawiał na zwycięstwo Donalda Trumpa w wyborach prezydenckich, mógł zarobić na tym ponad 47 mln USD, wyliczył MarketWatch. Średnia Przemysłowa Dow Jones (DJIA) zaczęła sesję wzrostem o 1200 pkt, czyli aż 3 proc. Okazało się, że przy urnach wyborczych mało kto zastanawiał się nad korzyściami z uniknięcia stagnacji gospodarczej po pandemii, natomiast wszyscy dostrzegli wzrost cen w sklepach oraz wyższy koszt kredytu.

02 ING o implikacjach związanych z wygraną Trumpa i Republikanów

“Pieniądze u bukmacherów (średnia z wielu) nie pozostawiają wątpliwości – przewaga Trumpa jest już olbrzymia (około 16 pp). A te pieniądze w sprawie wyborów podobno się nie mylą. Akcje, krypto i złoto już grają na wygraną Donalda Trumpa” – pisze. Prognozy zakładów bukmacherskich wskazują na rosnące szanse Donalda Trumpa na zwycięstwo w nadchodzących wyborach prezydenckich w Stanach Zjednoczonych. Mimo rekordowych cen złota pojawienie się nad Polską rosyjskich dronów bezprecedensowo, nawet dwukrotnie, podbił… Jak przypomina, w dniu jego zaprzysiężenia cena uncji złota wynosiła 1199,10 dolarów. – Jeśli jednak sprawdzimy, jak zachowywało się złoto podczas kolejnych kadencji amerykańskich prezydentów, okaże się, że rekordzistą, jeżeli chodzi o wzrost kursu kruszcu, był…

Za 1 dolara płacono w poniedziałek po południu 3,97 zł, podczas gdy w piątek kurs zbliżał się do 4,03 zł. Czy rynki finansowe szykują się na zwycięstwo Donalda Trumpa? Grunty ziemskie – ograniczone zasoby, historycznie stabilny wzrost wartości, cele rekreacyjne, zwłaszcza w okresie izolacji.10.

To minus dla sektora bankowego, a plus dla konsekwentnego budowania bańki na rynku nieruchomości i – docelowo – dla GPW. Wiele jest głosów, zgodnie z którymi „rząd nie ma pieniędzy na pomoc”. Oczywiście, zostanie ogłoszony jedynie wtedy, kiedy protesty nie ucichną, bo podstawowym scenariuszem jest gra na przeczekanie (oraz na chłód z deszczem).

– Według Conotoxia istnieje potencjał do przekroczenia poziomu 2500 dolarów za uncję złota w bieżącym roku. W aż dziewięciu latach stopa zwrotu króla metali przekraczała 15 proc., osiągając w 2007 roku nawet 31 proc. Cen srebra od początku roku zmienność na rynku tych metali nie odbiega od historycznych trendów. To właśnie z tych okolic pojawił się kolejny impuls wzrostowy, który widzieliśmy na początku lipca i który pozwolił przenieść rekord notowań na wyższy poziom. Wyraźny trend wzrostowy zaczął się pod koniec lutego i doprowadził do osiągnięcia nowych historycznych szczytów w maju.

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Just2Trade review and ratings

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